The Right Wing

It’s been over 60 years since the last global conflict, but to believe that such a conflict can not happen again is as naive as those who believe terrorists are no longer a threat.  Currently you have a renewed Russia remilitarizing and devoting much of their budget to defense and expansion.  You have the Islamic driven countries which are developing nuclear weapons, as well as North Korea.  Last but certainly not least, you have China.  The world’s fastest growing economy which has doubled its Navy in the last 2 years.  To quote the late Don Lafontaine, “In a world” where threats lurk in every corner of the globe, who do you want as commander in chief of our armed forces?
I will spend this post breaking down likely scenarios for these conflicts.

Russia
The least likely of future wars, Russia is making a lot of noise in eastern europe and in the arctic.  However, their economy is much more fragile than ours and they don’t have the funds to compete on a large scale war.  They can operate as well as us in small theaters like Georgia, but engage them in multiple fronts and they will collapse like a house of cards.  They must be taken seriously as they are one of the 2 countries that have enough nuclear weapons to wipe us out 100 times over.  Russia has also been known for deception, and making alliances with lesser enemy’s to defeat a greater one.  I’ll come back to that thought later, but keep it in mind.

Islamic Countries A
While muslims are still a relatively small amount of the population in the United States, in Europe they are nearing majority status in multiple countries.  At the risk of sounding racist, they are the mexicans of Europe.  At some point the native people of those european countries will begin to feel threatened by the dramatic increase in the muslim population.  They are not necessarily acting racist, they just feel their culture is threatened.  It is important to remember while in the United States people are of many religions and cultures, in a country like Poland everyone is Catholic and celebrates the same holidays.  Poland doesn’t have to refer to the Christmas season as the “holiday season” or at least until now.  In Europe there is a strong sentiment of “if you move to our country you should adapt to our customs,” much like the United States.  Unlike the Mexican immigrants in the United States, Muslim immigrants bring a few bad seeds which are better known as terrorists.  It is only going to take a few attacks before the people have had enough and begin to attack all Islamic people.  Unfortunately this is exactly what the terrorists want because it set’s up the beginnings of the Islamic people vs Judeo-Christian people in a conflict that could span the globe.  Eventually the conflict will escalate to the point where there is a massive reverse immigration of Muslim people back to Islamic run countries.  These Muslims will have a huge anti-western civilization sentiment and will be easy recruits for terrorists.  Sooner or later there will be a terrorist event that will be too deadly to handle.  A dirty bomb, nuclear bomb, and a biological attack are all possibilities.  At some point European and American countries will have had enough and decide to wipe out the source of the problem.  They wont invade like Iraq and Afghanistan, and they wont use cruise missiles like the bombings in the 90’s.  It will be a swift nuclear strike on any of the Islamic countries that have terrorist connections.  In a matter of minutes, the nation of Islam will be wiped from the globe.  It would be a sad end to a religion that teaches peace, tolerance, and understanding.

Islamic Countries B
This scenario starts with a conflict between Israel and Iran.  The fact that Israel has not started this war yet shocks me.  If you had a neighbor who everyday told you he was going to kill your family and burn down your house, you would not wait for him to do it.  You would take preemptive action to make sure he could not harm you or your family.  Despite everything Mahmoud Ahmadinejad (Iran’s leader) has said and done, Israel has not yet acted.  However if Iran gets a working nuclear program you can bet your life that Israel will step in.  Despite Israel’s size, they have one of the strongest armies in the world.  Everyone in Israel is required to serve 2 years in the military, which makes every citizen a potential soldier.  They are all extremely well trained and the military is well funded (and backed by the USA).  The basis for Iran’s military was set up by us in the 80’s, and they have come along way since then.  However while they will put up a good fight, Israel’s military will be more than Iran can handle.  This is one ending point for the conflict.  If nobody else gets involved, Israel could defeat and maybe even conquer Iran.  A more likely scenario is that when Iran sees defeat on the horizon they will make a plea to other Islamic nations like Syria and Saudi Arabia for support.  If Israel faces multiple countries, we should come to their aid.  Something I feel Barack Obama would not do if he were President.  If we came to Israel’s aid, it is quite possible Russia would come to assist Iran.  At which point most European countries would become involved to prevent Russia from getting any stronger than it already is.  The result would be nothing short of World War 3.

China
Quite simply, if the Chinese people ever become self aware this entire conflict can be averted without any military action.  Sooner or later the Chinese people wont work for pennies an hour anymore.  This is the only reason China’s economy is booming like it is, as soon as China’s people begin to form unions and demand better working conditions their economy will begin to slow.  They also have a severe pollution problem, which might have severe health repercussions on the populous of China.  However if neither come to pass there are several likely scenarios of a Chinese conflict.  Hong Kong and Taiwan want to be completely independent of China, so much so that they are appealing to the United Nations to do so.  China will not let that happen, and a coalition fleet of ships from the US and European nations be moved into the pacific theater to show support for Taiwan and Hong Kong.  China will not tolerate any more American or European ships near their waters, and they will send a message displaying how passionately they feel.  China will warn our ships to not approach any further, a message which we will disregard.  As our ships get a day out China will detonate a medium sized nuclear warhead far enough away from our ships to keep them out of harm, but close enough to send a message.  At which point a decision will be made if Hong Kong and Taiwan are worth a world war.  It is important to note that a conflict with China can be ended rather easily.  While China is vastly superior to the United States in terms of numbers, the Country of China is roughly the same size as the United States.  More importantly most of the Chinese people live in the eastern third of the country.  They have a population density greater than that of New York City.  It would only take a few small pox strains to wipe them out.  They have no disease control, no way to quarantine the population, and no means to maintain their economy that situation.  However if the outbreak was traced to the United States we could expect a full nuclear strike in retaliation.

These are just some of the possibilities that can occur in the future.  Just a small reasoning for exactly why we need a strong military.  I will leave you with a quote from President John F. Kennedy, “It is an unfortunate fact that we can secure peace only by preparing for war.”